Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000907 0.000942 0.000979 0.001018 0.001060 0.001104 0.001152
2025-10-05 0.000819 0.000869 0.000921 0.000980 0.001045 0.001115 0.001196
2025-10-12 0.000773 0.000834 0.000900 0.000976 0.001063 0.001159 0.001274
2025-10-19 0.000736 0.000806 0.000882 0.000973 0.001078 0.001199 0.001347
2025-10-26 0.000703 0.000778 0.000862 0.000964 0.001086 0.001228 0.001408
2025-11-02 0.000680 0.000761 0.000853 0.000966 0.001103 0.001268 0.001484
2025-11-09 0.000654 0.000738 0.000834 0.000955 0.001106 0.001289 0.001534
2025-11-16 0.000631 0.000717 0.000817 0.000945 0.001106 0.001306 0.001581
2025-11-23 0.000622 0.000713 0.000820 0.000959 0.001137 0.001363 0.001681
2025-11-30 0.000609 0.000703 0.000815 0.000962 0.001153 0.001401 0.001757
2025-12-07 0.000590 0.000685 0.000799 0.000950 0.001150 0.001412 0.001797
2025-12-14 0.000571 0.000666 0.000782 0.000936 0.001141 0.001415 0.001825
2025-12-21 0.000557 0.000653 0.000771 0.000929 0.001144 0.001435 0.001878
2025-12-28 0.000532 0.000626 0.000741 0.000898 0.001112 0.001404 0.001855
2026-01-04 0.000521 0.000615 0.000733 0.000895 0.001118 0.001427 0.001914
2026-01-11 0.000510 0.000606 0.000726 0.000892 0.001124 0.001451 0.001975
2026-01-18 0.000499 0.000595 0.000716 0.000885 0.001123 0.001464 0.002020
2026-01-25 0.000491 0.000589 0.000712 0.000886 0.001135 0.001495 0.002097
2026-02-01 0.000480 0.000577 0.000701 0.000877 0.001131 0.001503 0.002135
2026-02-08 0.000469 0.000566 0.000691 0.000868 0.001127 0.001510 0.002170
2026-02-15 0.000467 0.000567 0.000695 0.000881 0.001154 0.001567 0.002296
2026-02-22 0.000462 0.000562 0.000693 0.000883 0.001167 0.001600 0.002383
2026-03-01 0.000452 0.000551 0.000682 0.000873 0.001160 0.001603 0.002415